Nuclear Stockpiles: USSR/Russia, warheads, various estimates

Nuclear Stockpiles: USSR/Russia, warheads, various estimates
compiled by Wm. Robert Johnston
last modified 26 November 2007

See Cumulative estimates, introduction for explanation and sources.

year USSR/Russia

warheads

(WRJ) (NRDC 2006) (NRDC 2002) (NRDC 1994) (NRDC 1989) median est.
(Wohlstetter) low est.
(Wohlstetter) high est.
(Wohlstetter) (Wagner) (Weinberger) (Ikle/Wohlstetter)

1949 1 1 1 1 1

1950 3 5 5 5 5

1951 35 25 25 25 25

1952 85 50 50 50 50

1953 135 120 120 120 120

1954 200 150 150 150 150

1955 430 200 200 200 200 140 0 280

1956 660 426 426 400 400 450 0 900

1957 900 660 660 650 650 795 0 1,590

1958 1,060 869 869 900 900 1,332 224 2,440

1959 1,700 1,060 1,060 1,050 1,050 2,295 1,040 3,550

1960 2,470 1,605 1,605 1,700 1,700 3,115 1,710 4,520 3,430

1961 3,320 2,471 2,471 2,450 2,450 4,100 2,430 5,770 4,850

1962 4,240 3,322 3,322 3,100 3,100 5,130 3,080 7,180 6,280

1963 5,220 4,238 4,238 4,000 4,000 6,500 4,030 8,970 7,710

1964 6,300 5,221 5,221 5,100 5,100 7,850 5,100 10,600 9,130

1965 7,550 6,129 6,129 6,300 6,300 9,290 6,280 12,300 8,400 4,120 10,600

1966 8,850 7,089 7,089 7,550 7,550 10,620 7,540 13,700 9,960 5,350 12,000

1967 10,000 8,339 8,339 8,850 8,850 12,170 8,840 15,500 11,500 7,000 13,400

1968 11,000 9,399 9,399 10,000 10,000 13,700 10,000 17,400 13,100 8,980 14,800

1969 12,700 10,538 10,538 11,000 11,300 15,150 11,300 19,000 14,600 10,900 16,300

1970 14,500 11,643 11,643 12,700 12,500 16,650 12,500 20,800 16,200 12,700 17,700

1971 16,600 13,092 13,092 14,500 13,500 17,800 13,500 22,100 17,800 14,500 19,000

1972 18,800 14,478 14,478 16,600 14,600 19,100 14,600 23,600 19,300 16,600 20,300

1973 21,100 15,915 15,915 18,800 15,800 20,600 15,800 25,400 20,900 18,800 21,600

1974 23,500 17,385 17,385 21,100 16,800 21,800 16,800 26,800 22,400 21,100 22,900

1975 25,800 19,055 19,443 23,500 17,900 23,350 17,900 28,800 24,000 23,500 24,300

1976 28,400 21,205 21,205 25,800 19,100 24,800 19,100 30,500 25,600 25,800 25,500

1977 31,400 23,044 23,044 28,400 20,200 26,100 20,200 32,000 27,100 28,400 26,700

1978 34,000 25,393 25,393 31,400 21,300 27,400 21,300 33,500 28,700 31,400 28,100

1979 36,300 27,935 27,935 34,000 22,500 28,750 22,500 35,000 30,300 34,000 29,400

1980 38,700 30,062 30,062 36,300 23,700 30,100 23,700 36,500 31,800 36,300 30,800

1981 40,800 32,049 32,049 38,700 25,000 31,350 24,900 37,800 33,400 38,700 32,100

1982 42,600 33,952 33,952 40,800 26,000 32,850 26,300 39,400 35,000 40,800 33,500

1983 43,300 35,804 35,804 42,600 27,000 42,600 34,600

1984 44,000 37,431 37,431 43,300 28,000 44,500 35,700

1985 45,000 39,197 39,197 44,000 29,000 46,100 36,800

1986 43,000 45,000 40,723 45,000 30,000

1987 41,000 43,000 38,859 44,000 31,000

1988 39,000 41,000 37,330 42,500 33,000

1989 37,000 39,000 35,817 40,000 32,000

1990 35,800 37,000 33,515 38,000

1991 34,600 35,000 29,606 35,000

1992 33,400 33,000 26,256 33,500

1993 32,200 31,000 22,785 32,000

1994 31,000 29,000 19,067 29,000

1995 29,800 27,000 15,615

1996 28,600 25,000 12,722

1997 27,400 24,000 11,264

1998 26,200 23,000 10,764

1999 25,000 22,000 10,451

2000 23,800 21,000 10,201

2001 22,600 20,000 9,126

2002 21,400 19,000 8,579

2003 20,200 18,000

2004 19,000 18,000

2005 18,000 17,000

2006 17,000 16,000

2007 16,000

year	USSR/Russia
	warheads
	(WRJ)	(NRDC 2006)	(NRDC 2002)	(NRDC 1994)	(NRDC 1989)	median est. (Wohlstetter)	low est. (Wohlstetter)	high est. (Wohlstetter)	(Wagner)	(Weinberger)	(Ikle/Wohlstetter)
1949	1	1	1	1	1
1950	3	5	5	5	5
1951	35	25	25	25	25
1952	85	50	50	50	50
1953	135	120	120	120	120
1954	200	150	150	150	150
1955	430	200	200	200	200	140	0	280
1956	660	426	426	400	400	450	0	900
1957	900	660	660	650	650	795	0	1,590
1958	1,060	869	869	900	900	1,332	224	2,440
1959	1,700	1,060	1,060	1,050	1,050	2,295	1,040	3,550
1960	2,470	1,605	1,605	1,700	1,700	3,115	1,710	4,520			3,430
1961	3,320	2,471	2,471	2,450	2,450	4,100	2,430	5,770			4,850
1962	4,240	3,322	3,322	3,100	3,100	5,130	3,080	7,180			6,280
1963	5,220	4,238	4,238	4,000	4,000	6,500	4,030	8,970			7,710
1964	6,300	5,221	5,221	5,100	5,100	7,850	5,100	10,600			9,130
1965	7,550	6,129	6,129	6,300	6,300	9,290	6,280	12,300	8,400	4,120	10,600
1966	8,850	7,089	7,089	7,550	7,550	10,620	7,540	13,700	9,960	5,350	12,000
1967	10,000	8,339	8,339	8,850	8,850	12,170	8,840	15,500	11,500	7,000	13,400
1968	11,000	9,399	9,399	10,000	10,000	13,700	10,000	17,400	13,100	8,980	14,800
1969	12,700	10,538	10,538	11,000	11,300	15,150	11,300	19,000	14,600	10,900	16,300
1970	14,500	11,643	11,643	12,700	12,500	16,650	12,500	20,800	16,200	12,700	17,700
1971	16,600	13,092	13,092	14,500	13,500	17,800	13,500	22,100	17,800	14,500	19,000
1972	18,800	14,478	14,478	16,600	14,600	19,100	14,600	23,600	19,300	16,600	20,300
1973	21,100	15,915	15,915	18,800	15,800	20,600	15,800	25,400	20,900	18,800	21,600
1974	23,500	17,385	17,385	21,100	16,800	21,800	16,800	26,800	22,400	21,100	22,900
1975	25,800	19,055	19,443	23,500	17,900	23,350	17,900	28,800	24,000	23,500	24,300
1976	28,400	21,205	21,205	25,800	19,100	24,800	19,100	30,500	25,600	25,800	25,500
1977	31,400	23,044	23,044	28,400	20,200	26,100	20,200	32,000	27,100	28,400	26,700
1978	34,000	25,393	25,393	31,400	21,300	27,400	21,300	33,500	28,700	31,400	28,100
1979	36,300	27,935	27,935	34,000	22,500	28,750	22,500	35,000	30,300	34,000	29,400
1980	38,700	30,062	30,062	36,300	23,700	30,100	23,700	36,500	31,800	36,300	30,800
1981	40,800	32,049	32,049	38,700	25,000	31,350	24,900	37,800	33,400	38,700	32,100
1982	42,600	33,952	33,952	40,800	26,000	32,850	26,300	39,400	35,000	40,800	33,500
1983	43,300	35,804	35,804	42,600	27,000					42,600	34,600
1984	44,000	37,431	37,431	43,300	28,000					44,500	35,700
1985	45,000	39,197	39,197	44,000	29,000					46,100	36,800
1986	43,000	45,000	40,723	45,000	30,000
1987	41,000	43,000	38,859	44,000	31,000
1988	39,000	41,000	37,330	42,500	33,000
1989	37,000	39,000	35,817	40,000	32,000
1990	35,800	37,000	33,515	38,000
1991	34,600	35,000	29,606	35,000
1992	33,400	33,000	26,256	33,500
1993	32,200	31,000	22,785	32,000
1994	31,000	29,000	19,067	29,000
1995	29,800	27,000	15,615
1996	28,600	25,000	12,722
1997	27,400	24,000	11,264
1998	26,200	23,000	10,764
1999	25,000	22,000	10,451
2000	23,800	21,000	10,201
2001	22,600	20,000	9,126
2002	21,400	19,000	8,579
2003	20,200	18,000
2004	19,000	18,000
2005	18,000	17,000
2006	17,000	16,000
2007	16,000