Figure 1: U.S. state estimated active COVID-19 rates vs. date
(assumes 14 day recovery)

Table 1: Data for COVID-19 cases and fatalities by states of the United States as of 12 November 2021
listed by descending rate of total fatalities relative to population
COVID-19 waves in the United States defined as follows: wave 1 = 01Jan-10Jun2020; wave 2 = 11Jun-01Sep2020; wave 3 = 02Sep2020-10Jun2021; wave 4 = 11Jun2021 to date.

state	population 2020 est.	cases to date	cases as % of pop.					deaths to date	deaths as % of pop.					crude CFR (%)
			wave 1	wave 2	wave 3	wave 4	total		wave 1	wave 2	wave 3	wave 4	total
Mississippi	2,973,700	507,775	0.62	2.19	7.91	6.35	17.08	10,182	0.029	0.055	0.163	0.095	0.342	2.01
Alabama	4,911,000	838,114	0.45	2.15	8.54	5.93	17.07	15,934	0.015	0.030	0.184	0.095	0.324	1.90
New Jersey	8,880,300	1,213,246	1.86	0.32	9.29	2.19	13.66	28,146	0.139	0.040	0.117	0.021	0.317	2.32
Louisiana	4,643,400	763,628	0.95	2.27	7.01	6.21	16.45	14,662	0.064	0.043	0.122	0.087	0.316	1.92
Arizona	7,339,800	1,202,901	0.41	2.35	9.31	4.33	16.39	21,549	0.015	0.054	0.173	0.052	0.294	1.79
New York	19,415,000	2,466,153	1.96	0.28	8.61	1.85	12.70	55,313	0.159	0.009	0.105	0.012	0.285	2.24
Arkansas	3,021,800	518,348	0.34	1.69	9.32	5.80	17.15	8,547	0.005	0.021	0.167	0.089	0.283	1.65
Florida	21,595,000	3,664,403	0.31	2.61	7.87	6.18	16.97	60,418	0.013	0.040	0.119	0.109	0.280	1.65
Massachusetts	6,897,400	869,293	1.51	0.36	8.40	2.33	12.60	19,138	0.108	0.023	0.129	0.018	0.277	2.20
Oklahoma	3,965,400	650,689	0.19	1.31	9.96	4.95	16.41	10,879	0.009	0.011	0.164	0.090	0.274	1.67
Rhode Island	1,059,900	182,486	1.49	0.59	12.28	2.86	17.22	2,887	0.077	0.022	0.158	0.016	0.272	1.58
Georgia	10,671,000	1,610,182	0.48	1.92	7.93	4.75	15.09	28,678	0.021	0.031	0.139	0.077	0.269	1.78
South Carolina	5,181,300	905,182	0.30	2.01	9.16	5.99	17.47	13,923	0.011	0.042	0.135	0.080	0.269	1.54
West Virginia	1,786,100	280,727	0.12	0.47	8.53	6.60	15.72	4,610	0.005	0.008	0.147	0.099	0.258	1.64
South Dakota	887,700	158,822	0.63	0.92	12.46	3.88	17.89	2,277	0.008	0.011	0.209	0.028	0.257	1.43
Indiana	6,750,700	1,050,377	0.58	0.85	9.70	4.43	15.56	17,013	0.035	0.014	0.154	0.049	0.252	1.62
Pennsylvania	12,803,000	1,613,315	0.64	0.45	8.38	3.13	12.60	32,261	0.048	0.013	0.154	0.037	0.252	2.00
Nevada	3,106,900	458,491	0.33	1.91	8.28	4.24	14.76	7,797	0.014	0.028	0.139	0.070	0.251	1.70
Texas	29,181,000	4,269,263	0.28	1.93	7.96	4.46	14.63	72,744	0.007	0.038	0.134	0.071	0.249	1.70
Connecticut	3,562,200	407,292	1.24	0.24	8.29	1.66	11.43	8,809	0.116	0.010	0.107	0.015	0.247	2.16
New Mexico	2,098,900	288,557	0.44	0.77	8.50	4.03	13.75	5,150	0.020	0.018	0.167	0.041	0.245	1.78
Michigan	9,988,200	1,326,606	0.65	0.49	8.82	3.32	13.28	24,193	0.060	0.008	0.139	0.035	0.242	1.82
North Dakota	764,100	154,085	0.39	1.19	12.88	5.72	20.17	1,840	0.010	0.010	0.183	0.038	0.241	1.19
Tennessee	6,858,100	1,263,044	0.41	1.82	10.16	6.02	18.42	16,492	0.006	0.019	0.155	0.060	0.240	1.31
Illinois	12,646,000	1,732,954	1.04	0.86	9.11	2.71	13.70	28,929	0.050	0.016	0.135	0.028	0.229	1.67
Kentucky	4,470,900	762,429	0.27	0.89	9.20	6.70	17.05	10,218	0.011	0.011	0.139	0.068	0.229	1.34
Montana	1,072,900	183,413	0.05	0.65	9.81	6.58	17.10	2,452	0.002	0.008	0.143	0.076	0.229	1.34
Kansas	2,914,300	446,005	0.38	1.12	9.39	4.42	15.30	6,639	0.008	0.007	0.161	0.051	0.228	1.49
Iowa	3,158,300	500,474	0.72	1.37	9.70	4.06	15.85	7,166	0.020	0.015	0.157	0.034	0.227	1.43
Wyoming	579,300	106,698	0.17	0.50	9.86	7.89	18.42	1,298	0.003	0.004	0.118	0.099	0.224	1.22
Delaware	977,900	146,800	1.03	0.76	9.38	3.84	15.01	2,125	0.042	0.020	0.110	0.046	0.217	1.45
Ohio	11,695,000	1,590,792	0.34	0.73	8.39	4.14	13.60	25,282	0.021	0.015	0.136	0.045	0.216	1.59
Missouri	6,145,300	884,064	0.25	1.17	8.67	4.29	14.39	13,056	0.014	0.013	0.132	0.053	0.212	1.48
Idaho	1,805,600	298,678	0.18	1.63	8.90	5.83	16.54	3,704	0.005	0.016	0.097	0.088	0.205	1.24
California	39,538,000	4,993,930	0.35	1.46	7.80	3.02	12.63	73,132	0.012	0.021	0.128	0.024	0.185	1.46
Maryland	6,050,600	569,146	0.99	0.81	5.82	1.78	9.41	11,020	0.047	0.015	0.098	0.022	0.182	1.94
North Carolina	10,542,000	1,499,873	0.36	1.25	7.95	4.67	14.23	18,391	0.010	0.016	0.100	0.049	0.174	1.23
District of Columbia	707,900	65,159	1.35	0.64	4.96	2.26	9.20	1,193	0.070	0.015	0.075	0.008	0.169	1.83
Virginia	8,552,700	941,371	0.61	0.81	6.50	3.09	11.01	14,294	0.018	0.013	0.101	0.035	0.167	1.52
Wisconsin	5,830,000	917,691	0.41	0.99	10.20	4.14	15.74	9,657	0.012	0.008	0.118	0.028	0.166	1.05
Minnesota	5,656,400	836,911	0.51	0.84	9.32	4.13	14.80	9,092	0.022	0.011	0.101	0.027	0.161	1.09
Colorado	5,792,800	783,065	0.49	0.51	8.53	3.99	13.52	8,774	0.027	0.007	0.084	0.034	0.151	1.12
Nebraska	1,938,800	294,247	0.83	0.96	9.76	3.64	15.18	2,789	0.011	0.010	0.109	0.014	0.144	0.95
New Hampshire	1,362,800	142,469	0.38	0.16	6.73	3.19	10.45	1,617	0.022	0.010	0.068	0.019	0.119	1.13
Washington	7,660,800	748,950	0.34	0.68	4.79	3.97	9.78	8,910	0.015	0.011	0.050	0.040	0.116	1.19
Oregon	4,235,800	376,372	0.12	0.52	4.19	4.06	8.89	4,730	0.004	0.007	0.054	0.047	0.112	1.26
Alaska	729,800	143,345	0.09	0.75	8.76	10.05	19.64	811	0.001	0.004	0.043	0.063	0.111	0.57
Utah	3,232,500	567,782	0.40	1.22	11.02	4.92	17.56	3,325	0.004	0.009	0.059	0.031	0.103	0.59
Maine	1,346,800	110,346	0.20	0.14	4.74	3.11	8.19	1,220	0.007	0.002	0.053	0.028	0.091	1.11
Hawaii	1,413,500	82,710	0.05	0.56	1.90	3.34	5.85	968	0.001	0.004	0.030	0.033	0.068	1.17
Vermont	623,800	43,521	0.18	0.09	3.64	3.08	6.98	391	0.009	0.000	0.032	0.022	0.063	0.90
UNITED STATES	329,022,400	46,432,174	0.61	1.23	8.27	4.01	14.11	754,625	0.034	0.021	0.125	0.048	0.229	1.63

Figure 1: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 25 April 2020

Figure 2: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 18 April 2020

Figure 3: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 11 April 2020

Figure 4: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 4 April 2020

Figure 5: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 28 March 2020

Figure 6: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 21 March 2020

Figure 7: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 14 March 2020

Figure 8: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 7 March 2020

Figure 9: Case rates per million population for states of the United States, to 29 February 2020

Table 2: United states counties with the highest known rates of covid-19 (as of 9 April 2020)

county	state	known covid-19 cases 9 Apr 2020	pop. 2019 est.	cases per million pop.
Rockland	New York	6,665	325,789	20,458
Blaine	Idaho	428	23,021	18,592
Westchester	New York	17,004	967,506	17,575
Nassau	New York	20,140	1,356,924	14,842
Orleans	Louisiana	5,242	390,144	13,436
Randolph	Georgia	91	6,778	13,426
Richmond	New York	6,298	476,143	13,227
Bronx	New York	18,736	1,418,207	13,211
Queens	New York	27,759	2,253,858	12,316
Suffolk	New York	17,413	1,476,601	11,793
Dougherty	Georgia	1,020	87,956	11,597
Terrell	Georgia	96	8,531	11,253
St. John the Baptist	Louisiana	477	42,837	11,135
Orange	New York	4,090	384,940	10,625
Jefferson	Louisiana	4,480	432,493	10,359
Early	Georgia	105	10,190	10,304
Union	New Jersey	5,203	556,341	9,352
Passaic	New Jersey	4,690	501,826	9,346
Kings	New York	23,408	2,559,903	9,144
St. James	Louisiana	191	21,096	9,054
Bergen	New Jersey	8,343	932,202	8,950
Hudson	New Jersey	5,879	672,391	8,743
Essex	New Jersey	6,069	798,975	7,596
Lee	Georgia	212	29,992	7,069
New York	New York	11,486	1,628,706	7,052
St. Bernard	Louisiana	325	47,244	6,879
St. Charles	Louisiana	362	53,100	6,817
Eagle	Colorado	374	55,127	6,784
Summit	Utah	273	42,145	6,478
Greer	Oklahoma	37	5,712	6,478
Sumter	Georgia	190	29,524	6,435
Wayne	Michigan	10,093	1,749,343	5,770
Iberville	Louisiana	187	32,511	5,752
Calhoun	Georgia	35	6,189	5,655
Gunnison	Colorado	98	17,462	5,612
Middlesex	New Jersey	4,628	825,062	5,609
Plaquemines	Louisiana	129	23,197	5,561
Morris	New Jersey	2,645	491,845	5,378
Mitchell	Georgia	116	21,863	5,306
Monmouth	New Jersey	3,248	618,795	5,249
Ocean	New Jersey	3,093	607,186	5,094
Dutchess	New York	1,493	294,218	5,074
Clay	Georgia	14	2,834	4,940
Fairfield	Connecticut	4,417	943,332	4,682
Chambers	Alabama	151	33,254	4,541
Suffolk	Massachusetts	3,600	803,907	4,478
Putnam	New York	438	98,320	4,455
Coffey	Kansas	36	8,179	4,402
Assumption	Louisiana	94	21,891	4,294
Wilkinson	Mississippi	37	8,630	4,287

Resources:

• Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Feb. 2020, "2019 Novel Coronavirus," CDC, on line [https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html].
• Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Feb. 2020, "2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) situation summary," CDC, on line [https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-nCoV/summary.html].
• Johns Hopkins CSSE, March 2020, "Coronavirus 2019-nCoV" dashboard, ArcGIS Online for Johns Hopkins, on line [https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6].
• World Health Organization, March 2020, "Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)," WHO, on line [https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019].

© 2020, 2021 by Wm. Robert Johnston.
Last modified 12 November 2021.
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